845pm Package
Hello everybody,
The rain and snow that fell during the wee hours into mid-morning Saturday was fantastic as we increased our soil moisture with .35 inches of precip in town. That could be critical because you never know when it might happen again. Lets talk about the next few days. By the way, if the models are right, we are dry and windy for much of next week which means Saturday morning’s showers were important.
Sunday – Sunday will be a totally different day than it was on Saturday. A new ridge aloft builds over the region and with this ridge comes subsidence or sinking air. What that means is the atmosphere will be much more stable. The cumulus clouds that form on Sunday wont have nearly the vertical extent as they did on Saturday and they wont produce any showers. Overall concerning skycover, I think scattered cumulus clouds will be the rule with a few cirrus clouds mixed in. It looks like a very nice day with warming temps and we will take a run at 70 in town.
Monday - Monday will be a beautiful day. It will be the nicest day of the Spring so far. The ridge aloft amplifies over the region and this brings a very dry atmosphere to Aspen and vicinity. Look for a ton of sunshine with perhaps a touch of cirrus and a couple flat cumulus clouds. Overall mostly sunny looks fine. Temps will soar in the morning and be at 72 by noon. I’m thinking we hit 77 for a high temp in town with 82 to 85 downvalley. Breezes pick up in the afternoon due to the strong warming and 15 to 20mph looks appropriate. Humidity will be low in the afternoon along with some breezes so dont burn anything.
Tuesday – We will be ahead of a new cold front on Tuesday. The atmosphere will be well mixed ahead of this boundary so look for a windy day developing. Forecast soundings are easily giving us 20 to 35mph and gusty during the afternoon once we establish good mixing. Overall the day looks dry ahead of the cold front. There could be some cirrus clouds around and some high based cumulus clouds in the afternoon. Look for temps to rapidly soar in the morning and we will be at 74 by noon and upper 70s for a high temp in town. Fire weather concerns are significant on Tuesday with very low afternoon humidities and gusty winds. Dont burn anything. The front passes late Tuesday night but right now the atmosphere appears pretty dry. I cant rule out a shower but I would not bet on it at this point.
Cory
