10pm Package
Good evening everubody,
I have seen the models and new upper air data this evening. Details as usual for the next few days are given below.
Saturday…(Day 3 of Winter X) – The atmosphere will be dry today and there is no doubt about that. We are in a NW flow aloft and all the soundings off to the NW where are air is coming from are very dry. There is also subsidence or sinking air throughout the vertical column of the atmosphere. There is a very weak moisture starved disturbance that could bring some high clouds to occasionally mix with the sun. Temps will start cold this morning with below zero readings across the region then reach the mid to upper 20s this afternoon in town.
Temps at Buttermilk (Venues) on Saturday….. 11am:19, 2pm:26, 5pm:20, 8pm:14, 11pm:11
Sunday…(Final Day of Winter X) – NW flow still dominates and the mid levels of the atmosphere begin to get warmer. This warming creates even more subsidence or sinking air so it will be another dry day. Look for sunshine to occasionally mix with some high clouds. Temps cold again at dawn then reach the 30s in the afternoon in town.
Temps at Buttermilk (Venues) on Sunday….11am:28 , 2pm:37, 5pm:31, 8pm:23, 11pm:18
Monday – I have been looking at the water vapor loop intensely tonight out over the pacific ocean. The GFS actually looks meteorologically correct and I will go with its solution. So on Monday a new impulses enters the pacific NW and moves SE. We should get increasing mid and high clouds ahead of this feature during the day. The system is not an overly strong one and I dont think it produces much snow. The better saturation is to our north over Wyoming. Down here maybe we get a touch of light snow or flurries on Monday night.
Long Range…I have been delaying this conversion for a while but I might as well tell everyone. There is another HUGE pattern change looming on the horizon. What is going to happen in the atmosphere is called Discontinous Retrogression. Yeah I know that’s a mouthful and not likely a bar topic on a Friday night. Discontinous Retrogression is where everything in the upper atmosphere goes in the opposite direction. This will happen in the pacific ocean next week and many of the upper level lows and highs out there will be moving westward instead of the normal eastbound. It’s clearly evident on the water vapor loop even now and it will happen very strongly next week. The whole outcome of this is becoming more clear to me and I hate to say it but we could have another protracted dry spell starting at mid-week. Of course I will be positive and hope the dryness wont last too long. However, I did need to finally mention it to everybody so it’s no surprise.
Cory
Recent Comments